Sunday 08/16/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Sunday 08/16/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.

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Trend Report

Sunday, August 16

7:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Hamilton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
 
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Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 7 preview and picks

Sunday, August 16

HAMILTON TIGER CATS AT SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS (-5, 52.5)

It’s an interesting showdown in Regina between these surprising squads who lead the CFL in points against after six games. Not exactly what they are used to in Saskatchewan. DeAndra Cobb is a solid running back and he should inflict some damage to the Riders but I doubt that it will be enough. Hamilton this season has played with discipline avoiding giving costly turnovers or taking bad penalties. The Roughriders should make note of that, especially after last week when QB Darian Durant threw two interceptions in a 35-20 loss to B.C. Home advantage should be a big factor in this one.

Pick: Saskatchewan -5


Last week: 2-2
Season: 11-13
 
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Trend Report

1:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. DETROIT
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Kansas City is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

1:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
San Francisco is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
NY Mets are 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home

1:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CINCINNATI
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Washington is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Cincinnati is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
Cincinnati is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games at home

1:35 PM
LA ANGELS vs. BALTIMORE
LA Angels are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games on the road
LA Angels are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Baltimore is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games

1:38 PM
TORONTO vs. TAMPA BAY
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

2:05 PM
BOSTON vs. TEXAS
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Texas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

2:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. MILWAUKEE
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston

2:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MINNESOTA
Cleveland is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Cleveland is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 10-2-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Minnesota is 2-5-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

2:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego

2:20 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CHI CUBS
Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games
Chi Cubs are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games at home

4:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. OAKLAND
Chi White Sox are 5-12 SU in their last 17 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

4:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
LA Dodgers are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games when playing Arizona
LA Dodgers are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing LA Dodgers

4:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. SEATTLE
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

5:05 PM
COLORADO vs. FLORIDA
Colorado is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida is 4-8-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Colorado
Florida is 5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
Philadelphia is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners (+172, 8.5)

The New York Yankees are running at full speed this month – posting an 11-2 record heading into Saturday. It seems like nothing can slow the club down, besides maybe injuries.

The long MLB schedule is starting to wear on the Yankees. Third baseman Alex Rodriguez, who is hitting .273 BA with five RBI in August, was scratched from Friday’s game due to back spasms. Rodriguez missed the series opener Thursday because of a bruised elbow.

"I've never had a pain like that in my back," Rodriguez told the Daily News. "I went down and I was dizzy a little bit. I kind of braced myself. I didn't really feel it until an hour later. I was thinking about (the elbow). ... Hopefully I'll be ready to go (this weekend)."

A-Rod isn’t the only player in pinstripes feeling aches and pains. Shortstop Derek Jeter missed time this week with a bruised right foot after getting hit by a pitch. He was back in the lineup the past two games, going 3-for-8 with a home run and two RBI.

Even Sunday’s starter Joba Chamberlain is feeling a little worn out. He was supposed to skip his spot in the rotation this week to rest but will go against the Mariners to help ease the bullpen’s work load. Chamberlain has pitched 121 2-3 innings this season and is close to surpassing the work limit the club set for him this season.

Pick: Mariners +172


San Francisco Giants at New York Mets (+105, 8.5)

Giants veteran shortstop Edgar Renteria is pulling a page out of Ozzie Guillen’s playbook. He put the word out to opposing pitchers that San Fran slugger Pablo Sandoval would not be bullied.

"I think they're trying to scare Pablo because he's young," Renteria told the San Francisco Chronicle. "I told Pablo already, 'You're such a good hitter. You can't be intimidated by anybody or you'll never hit again.' If they do something to him, we have to do something. I'm not talking for the skipper. I'm talking for myself."

Those comments came after Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher James McDonald hit Sandoval with a pitch, prompting an infield mêlée between the NL West rivals. Renteria barreled out of the Giants dugout and went toe-to-toe with Dodgers catcher Russell Martin.

Renteria went on to say that the San Francisco pitching staff should take it upon themselves to protect the club’s lone big bat and go after opponents’ top hitters if they try to intimidate the burly infielder.

The scare tactics might be working. Sandoval is batting .340 BA in August, but in the past week he is hitting just .208 BA and has no home runs or RBI. San Francisco has lost five of seven and is averaging only 2.5 runs in that span.

Pick: Under 8.5
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Aaron Laffey (Cleveland Indians)

The left-hander is emerging as the staff ace since the departure of Cliff Lee.

Laffey has not allowed an earned run in three of his last four starts, going 3-1 in that span without surrendering a homer.

Despite being roughed up by the Los Angeles Angels July 29, Laffey has a 2.10 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP in his last four outings. He is 2-0 this year vs. Minnesota, his opponent today.

J.A. Happ (Philadelphia Phillies)

The Phillies have the best road record in baseball and Happ is a key to their success.

In his last five road starts, the left-hander has pitched at least six innings without allowing more than two earned runs and deserves better than his 2-1 mark in that span.

Happ has a 1.54 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in his last five road starts, twice holding his oppoonent scoreless while allowing just two homers in 35 innings.

Justin Lehr (Cincinnati Reds)

The journeyman right-hander doesn't have a huge body of work, having made just three starts. But he's been very good in the last two.

Lehr tossed a four-hit shutout against the Cubs, then followed up by somehow dancing around 11 hits and a walk in six innings, allowing just one run in a win over Albert Pujols and the Cardinals. He has walked just two in his last 15 innings.

With Edinson Volquez out for the season and Johnny Cueto slumping, the Reds should be taking a long look at Lehr for the rest of the season.


Slumping

Jeremy Guthrie (Baltimore Orioles)

The right-hander won his first start after the All-Star break and has not won since.

Guthrie has lost four in a row, giving up hits, homers and walks in bunches. During his recent stumble, he had allowed 34 hits, five homers and eight walks in 25 1-3 innings.

Guthrie has given up season highs in hits twice in his last three starts.

Nick Blackburn (Minnesota Twins)

There apparently will be no second-half surge by the Twins this season, who have tumbled out of contention partially due to Blackburn's poor pitching.

The right-hander won his last two starts before the All-Star break, but the Twins are 0-5 in his second-half starts. Blackburn is 0-3 and has worked almost exclusively as a favorite, costing bettors.

In this awful stretch, Blackburn has an ERA of 8.87 and a WHIP of 1.93. He has allowed 12 hits in one start, 13 in another and lasted a season-low 1 2-3 innings in another.

Rich Harden (Chicago Cubs)

The bottom line is the Cubs have lost the right-hander's last three starts. But that doesn't tell the whole story.

Harden is just 0-1 in that stretch while receiving a measly five runs of support. His ERA is 3.00, his WHIP is 1.11 and he has 26 strikeouts in 18 innings.

The Cubs have not lost four straight games started by Harden all season.
 
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Sunday Night Baseball: Phillies at Braves

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves (-120, 8)

A key clash in the National League East pennant chase takes center stage when Atlanta hosts Philadelphia at Turner Field Sunday night.

The Braves send surging right-hander Javier Vazquez (10-7 2.90 ERA) to the hill against left-handed Philly phenom J.A. Happ (8-2 2.75 ERA).

Trading places

Braves 1B Andy LaRoche was traded twice at midseason, first from Atlanta to Boston and then back to Atlanta. He played in six games for the Red Sox, batting .263 BA with a homer, two doubles and three RBI.

The Red Sox decided they needed Victor Martinez and were willing to re-ship LaRoche back to Atlanta as part of a three-way deal.

"I feel like I've never left this place," LaRoche told reporters. "For the most part, it just feels like I took a break and came back. I'm never sure anymore.”

LaRoche went on to elaborate, saying "I'm not unpacking yet. But I think with the deadline past, chances are pretty good that I'm staying here."

Francisco treat

When Philly OF Ben Francisco homered to lead off the 12th inning against Cubs closer Kevin Gregg in a 4-3 Philadelphia victory over Chicago Tuesday night, it put more than a smile on manager Charlie Manuel’s face.

Gregg had entered the contest with a 0.79 career ERA against the Phils. Francisco was acquired along with LHP Cliff Lee in a trade with the Indians just prior to the trade deadline last month.

“He can play all three outfield positions, and he can spell any of those guys out there,” Manuel beamed, referring to Raul Ibanez, Shane Victorino and Jayson Werth. “I’m going to try and get him in the lineup when I can.”

Alternative measures

An array of injuries to the Philadelphia pitching staff signaled the acquisitions of Lee and veteran right-hander Pedro Martinez.

Former starters Antonio Bastardo (strained left shoulder) and Brett Myers (torn labrum in right hip), along with relief pitcher J.C. Romero (left forearm strain), all currently reside on the DL.

Neither Bastardo nor Myers figures to rejoin to the starting lineup when they return. Romero’s return this season is uncertain.

Nate the Great

Braves CF Nate McLouth was back in the starting lineup for the series opener Friday.

McLouth has missed four starts and three entire games with a sore left hamstring. He was acquired from Pittsburgh on June 3. His bat is critical to Atlana’s hopes of catching Philadelphia in the NL East.

An All-Star last season, McLouth is on pace for a 20-homer/20-stolen base campaign.

Choose your weapon

Despite rumors of him headed to the bullpen with the recent acquisition of Martinez, Happ remains in Philadelphia’s starting rotation.

The rookie has pitched like a veteran and continues to impress. He threw 100 pitches in six inning of work in a 4-3 win at Chicago Tuesday night.

Happ has cashed in four of his last six team starts, sporting a 2.19 ERA along the way. He has developed an interesting pitching pattern this season.

In his nine road starts, the Phillies are 5-4, going W-L-W-L-W-L-W-L-W, the most recent W being the victory over the Cubs at Wrigley Field.

Vazquez picked up his seventh straight team start win in his most recent effort, an 8-2 win at Los Angeles last Sunday.

He owns a sharp 3.17 ERA in his last seven contests, issuing nine walks against 46 strikeouts in those games.

With the victory over the Dodgers, Vazquez reached double digits in wins for the 10th consecutive season. He also has at least 150 strikeouts for the 10th year in a row.

He has thrown 98 or more pitches in all but two of his 23 starts this season. His 171 strikeouts are the second-most in the NL behind Tim Lincecum's 198 for the Giants. In 155.3 innings of work this season, Vazquez has issued only 35 walks.

While it’s tough to fade a Philadelphia squad that owns the best road mark in the Big Leagues and is 13-3 away on Sundays, look for form to prevail over function Sunday.
 
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Jeff Benton Bonus Play
I went 3-for-3 in NFL preseason action this week, including Saturday’s winner on the Bills over the Bears, and I’ve now nailed five straight freebies overall! For Sunday, it’s back to baseball and I’ll take the Yankees and Joba Chamberlain on the run line (-1½ runs) in their series finale at the Mariners.

Chamberlain hasn’t exactly been at the top of his game lately, giving up four runs in each of his last two starts over a total of 11 innings (6.55 ERA), this after yielding a grand total of two runs and eight hits over his previous three outings covering 21 2/3 innings (0.83 ERA). But it really hasn’t much mattered who well Joba pitches, because all the Yankees do is win when he’s on the mound – and win big!

New York is 5-0 in his last five starts and 8-1 in his last nine, and those eight wins have come by a combined 28 runs, with the Bronx Bombers covering the run line seven times. What’s more, New York is 16-6 in the right-hander’s 22 starts this year, and Chamberlain has also been outstanding on the road in 2009 (5-0, 2.78 ERA).

Finally, it’s hard to ignore the Yankees’ recent dominance of the Mariners. They’ve won 13 of the last 16 meetings, including four of five this year, and 13 of their last 14 victories in this rivalry (including all four this year) have been by more than a run. New York comes into this game having won 11 of its last 12 (five straight on the road, all by more than a run) and Seattle pitcher Doug Fister is making just his second-ever big-league start. Tthis one’s almost seems too easy. Play baseball’s hottest team on the run line.
5? N.Y. YANKEES (-1 1/2 RUNS)
 
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Karl Garrett Bonus Play
G-Man on a 23-14 Bonus Play roll my last 37 releases.

Looking at this Yankees-Mariners game, you have to wonder if they have the "mercy rule" in pace at Safeco Field this afternoon.

New York has won the first three games of this long four game set, and they have taken ALL three by two runs or more.

In the six meetings this year, New York has won five of them, and again, ALL of the wins have come by two runs or more!

You see what I am getting at?

Bingo!

RUN LINE play today on the Yankees as they leave Seattle with another easy win.

Joba Chamberlain has done his best work away from home where he is 5-0 with a 2.78 ERA. His counterpart Doug Fister is making just his second start at this level, and that spells trouble against this stacked Yankees lineup.

New York is on a 12-1 run their last 13 games, and 11 of those 12 wins have come by two runs or more.

Yankees on the RUN LINE is the G-Man's comp play for Sunday.
5? YANKEES -1 1/2 RUNS
 
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Dominic Fazzini Bonus Play
The Tigers got me back in the winner's column Saturday with their 10-3 victory over Kansas City, giving me six wins in my last seven complimentary selections! Now I'm going to end the weekend right with another run-line winner.

Rays right-hander Matt Garza (7-8, 3.80 ERA) is hard to figure out sometimes. The guy has great stuff, but sometimes his emotions get the best of him on the mound. In his last start, he allowed six runs (four earned) and six hits in 3 1/3 innings Monday against the Angels.

One thing is for sure, though. He loves pitching against the Blue Jays. Garza is 5-2 with a 0.83 ERA in his last seven outings against them, including 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA this season.

Toronto rookie Marc Rzepczynski (1-3, 4.38) has struggled lately, going 0-2 with a 6.16 ERA in his last four starts. The left-hander gave up four runs and seven hits in 3 1/3 innings Monday against the Yankees.

The Blue Jays have lost 14 of their last 21 on the road, and are 3-13 in their last 16 games at Tropicana Field. I think Garza is going to keep Toronto's bats quiet today, just as he has over the last two seasons. Take the Rays on the run line.
2? TAMPA BAY -1 1/2 RUNS
 
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Bobby Maxwell Bonus Play
Today's FREE winner comes from the National League Central as I go with Milwaukee at home to get the job done against the Astros.

Milwaukee has dominated the Astros when they come calling at Miller Park. The Brewers are 15-4 in the last 19 meetings in Milwaukee and look for them to add to that today with Braden Looper (10-6, 4.99 ERA) on the mound.

The Brewers have taken the first two games of this series and they've won seven of the 11 played against Houston this season. Milwaukee is also on runs of 4-1 in the third game of a series, 5-0 when Looper faces division rivals, 5-2 when he's a 'dog and 5-2 when he gets a full four days of rest.

On the other side, the Astros are on slides of 1-5 overall, 0-5 against teams with a losing record, 2-9 on the road and just 3-7 when starter Roy Oswalt faces N.L. Central foes. Oswalt (6-4, 3.87) has a 5.93 ERA in his last three starts, including an ugly outing in Florida on Tuesday when he gave up six runs in five innings of a 9-8 loss. He faced the Brewers on May 21 and allowed three runs on 10 hits in 6.1 innings of a 4-3 loss.

Milwaukee has won six of Looper's last 10 outings and he seems to have been alternating good and bad outings lately. On Aug. 5 he allowed just one run in 6.2 innings to the Dodgers in a 4-1 win, but on Tuesday he gave up seven runs (five earned) in five innings of a 13-6 loss to the Padres.

Don't like the way the Astros are playing right now and love the fact the Brewers have all the confidence in the world when they get Houston at home. Play Milwaukee in this one.
2? MILWAUKEE
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline
We are on a 17-7-1 comp play run the last 25 days.

For Sunday, we like Chicago to complete the three-game sweep of Oakland, as White Sox starter John Danks has been lights-out against the A's over the past few season.

In Danks' last 4 starts against Oakland, he is a perfect 4-0, and he has allowed just 4 earned run in his 26 innings of work against them.

Danks is also 6-3 on the road this season with a respectable 3.86 road ERA.

His counterpart Trevor Cahill is a dissapointing 6-12 for the year with an ERA of 5.06. Cahill sports a personal 4 game losing streak in which he has allowed 5 runs or more to score in 3 of those 4 losses.

It is not likely Cahill is going to get much support at the plate today based on how Danks has limited the Oakland bats in recent years, so look for Cahill's losing streak to hit 5 in a row, and look for the Pale Hose to leave town with the three-game sweep.

Play on the ChiSox.
4♦ WHITE SOX
 
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Vernon Croy's Sunday Afternoon MLB Bonus Play
1* Take the Kansas City Royals on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Royals have the better pitcher on the mound here Sunday afternoon. Kyle Davies (4-8, 6.11 ERA) has pitched solid on the road this season with an ERA of just 3.09 over 7 starts and Armando Galarraga (6-10, 5.23 ERA) has struggled at home with an ERA of 4.59 over 12 starts. This is Galarraga's first start since he lasted just 5 innings at home against the Minnesota Twins on August.7 where he walked 5 batters while giving up 8 hits. Davies pitched solid in his last start which was on the road against the Twins where he allowed just 5 hits and 1 earned run over 5 innings. Davies has allowed just 29 hits over 43.7 innings on the road this season and I look for a strong outing by him Sunday afternoon. The Tigers are just 1-5 in Galarraga's last 6 starts and they are also just 1-4 in his last 5 starts as a home favorite. Take the Kansas City Royals at a very good price as my MLB Bonus Play for Sunday afternoon
 
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Cajun Sports MLB 2* Complimentary Selection- Sunday

Date/Time: Sunday August 16 / 8:05PM EST

Sport/Type: MLB / Side

Game: Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves

Graded Selection: 2* Philadelphia Phillies +120

Analysis:

The Phillies and Braves square off on Sunday night at the Ted in the rubber match of their three-game weekend set. The Braves are 6-16 (-11.2) in home games when playing against a team with a win percentage of 54 to 62 percent in the second half of the season the last 2 seasons while the Phillies are 25-12 (+15.4) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Atlanta is 3-13 (-11.7) in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and the Phillies are 30-14 (+16.5) versus NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Phillies are 12-3 (+10.0) in road games vs. a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 this season, 34-18 (+18.0) in road games vs. a starting pitcher who gives up less than 1.75 walks per start the last 3 seasons, 26-15 (+14.1) as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons, 14-7 (+7.3) in road games against division opponents this season and 25-12 (+14.3) in road games against right-handed starters this season. With solid technical and fundamental support for the visitor we will back the road underdog here as they grab the game three win and secure another series victory.

Graded Selection: 2* Philadelphia Phillies 3 Atlanta Braves 2
 
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JIM FEIST

(969) LOS ANGELES ANGELS
(970) BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Take "Over"

Looks like a high scoring affair here on Sunday. You have the team (Balt) that has allowed the most runs in the AL this season (615) against the team in the AL that is tied for the most runs scored (LAA). The O's pitching is obviously pretty bad and while the hitting isn't great either, they are 4th in the AL in batting avg (.270). Meanwhile, the Angels are at or near the top in just about every hitting category, including 1st in BA (.289). Surprisingly for a first place team, the pitching isn't very good. The Angels are 12th in ERA (4.87), opp batting avg (.276) and WHIP (1.45). Don't look for a dominating start from either starter today. Sean O'Sullivan of the Angels has a 7.20 ERA his last three starts and Jeremy Guthrie has a 6.75 ERA his last three outings. Both teams will get their hits and runs. Sit back, enjoy the high scoring affair and take the OVER!!
 
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DAVE COKIN

(965) COLORADO ROCKIES
(966) FLORIDA MARLINS
Take "(965) COLORADO ROCKIES"

One never knows for sure which Jorge De La Rosa will show up for the Rockies. The good one is lights out, but when De La Rosa is off he gets lit up in a big way. But the lefty has been good way more often than not lately, and he's facing a Florida lineup that can struggle with tough southpaws. Chris Volstad hasn't been fooling too many hitters, so in spite of the strong recent play of the Marlins, I'm looking at the road dog Rockies today.
 
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Craig Trapp

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Play: Under 9

The under is the big Bonus Play for Craig today. The Reds and Nats are two of the worst teams in the last two months. The Reds don't seem to be able to score runs lately scoring under 3 runs average per game in last 20 games. On the other side WASH has been pitching so much better. Today they turn to Lannan who has been very good this year. His record does not look great but its deceiving. Even better he has been great verse the Reds 1-0 with a 3.06 ERA in three starts against the Reds. He didn't get a decision in the last start June 11, yielding two runs in six innings of Washington's 3-2 win. The Reds turn to surprise starter Lehr who has been great lately going 2-0 with 1.8 ERA. The best news is this years series between these two struggling teams the under has hit in all but one game in 6 games. SCORE WASH 2 - CIN 1
 
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Tony Weston

I delivered yesterday as the Yankees cruise to an easy Run Line win. I’m giving you another winner today as I’m taking the Padres as a huge dog on the road at the St. Louis Cardinals.

Sure the Padres haven’t had much success lately, but the difference today will be San Diego’s scheduled starting pitcher Clayton Richard.

Almost under the radar of Jake Peavy, Richard was one of the principals that came to San Diego from Chicago in the 5-player trade that sent Peavy to the White Sox.

Over his last 10 starts, his teams are 7-3 and are 4-1 his last five starts on the road.

Opposite Richard will be the Cardinals’ Kyle Lohse, who has struggled mightily this season. While he missed about a month of action in June, his results have been about the same. He only has two wins since the end of April as the Cards are just 2-10 his last 12 starts.

St. Louis will drop another one with Lohse on the mound as the Padres get over. Pencil in Richard as your starting pitcher and take San Diego on the road in this one.

3♦ PADRES
 
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Jake Timlin

Take the Yankees as they sweep today’s series in a blowout.

Already with three straight wins by two or more runs over the past three days I now look for the Yankees to make four straight blowout wins as they wrap up a four game sweep of the Mariners today.

Leading the way for the Yankees who are 12-1 in their last 13 games played will be Joba Chamberlain who is a perfect 5-0 in his last 9 starts with New York posting a 8-1 record in those 9 starts.

Meanwhile, countering for Seattle will be Doug Fister who will be making his second MLB start after the Mariners ending up losing in his debut 3-1 to the White Sox.

Simple, given that New York is next to unbeatable right now and having won 6 of their last 7 game by two or more runs I expect nothing but a blowout today in Seattle as the Yankees sweep the four game series.

1♦ New York Yankees -1½
 
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MTi Sports

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers
Prediction: Detroit Tigers

Since the start of the 2008 season, the Tigers are 10-0 in the third game of a three-game home series in which they won the first two. The Royals are 0-10 when Kyle Davies starts and the Royals lost their last two games. Consider the Tigers.
 

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